Wednesday, 25 April 2012

English Premier League Relegation run in part 3

Trying to predict results at the bottom of the English Premiership currently is like trying to come up with those elusive lottery numbers to win the jackpot - in other words it's all rather unpredictable at the moment!  There have been more "shock" results since I last blogged my predictions for the run-in.  QPR pulled off a win against Tottenham (playing with 10 men for the last 10 or so minutes of the game); Wigan, despite their brilliant run of form recently, finally succumbed to Fulham in the last minute of their last game after earlier having pulled off another shock result in beating Arsenal; Blackburn have managed to keep their increasingly slim hopes of staying up alive by beating Norwich at home and Bolton took full advantage of one of their two games in hand on everyone else by beating Aston Villa on a horribly damp night which would have suited the mood of the Villa supporters. 

Speaking of Aston Villa, they are starting to look like "that team" that no-one thinks is in trouble until the last minute.  Interesting times for fans of anyone not supporting any of these clubs as they can watch on in fascination whilst those around them panic!  It should be noted that at this point one of my original predicted teams to go (although this one was fairly easy to foresee) fell through the trapdoor over the weekend - the Wolves (or Wolverhampton Wanderers) will be on new hunting ground next season.
So to my latest predictions for the final table (drum roll please - or should that be death knoll?!) my version stands as follows:


15th Aston Villa  -17 Goal Difference 36 Points
16th Bolton Wanderers -29 Goal Difference 36 Points
17th QPR -22 Goal Difference 35 Points
18th Blackburn Rovers -28 Goal Difference 35 Points
19th Wigan Athletic -28 Goal Difference 35 Points
20th Wolverhampton Wanderers -44 Goal Difference 24 Points (already relegated)

No change since the last update on who actually goes down with Wigan and Blackburn still in the bottom three in my final reckoning but it's still very tight, in fact goal difference is the only thing separating Blackburn and QPR and the fact that Blackburn would have scored more goals than Wigan keeping them above their neighbours.  Aston Villa's recent form is reflected in the fact that they only scrape to safety by 1 point along with Bolton.

There's plenty of action on this front to look forward to this weekend, with all sides facing difficult or challenging opposition, it would only take one side to get a result and the others failing to change my table again.  The race to avoid relegation is hotting up, it remains to be seen who can stand the heat.

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